Severe Hypoglycemia Predicts Mortality in Diabetes

In this issue of Diabetes Care, McCoy et al. (1) report 3.4-fold higher mortality in patients with diabetes who selfreported severe hypoglycemia (that which required the assistance of another person) 5 years earlier. They suggest that patient-related outcomes such as hypoglycemia would augment risk stratification and management of patients with diabetes. Iatrogenic hypoglycemia is the limiting factor in the glycemic management of diabetes (2). It causes recurrent morbidity in most people with type 1 diabetes and many with advanced type 2 diabetes and is sometimes fatal. It impairs defenses against subsequent hypoglycemia and, thus, causes a vicious cycle of recurrent hypoglycemia. The barrier of hypoglycemia generally precludes maintenance of euglycemia over a lifetime of diabetes and, therefore, full realization of the benefits of glycemic control. Although it can be caused by an episode of marked absolute therapeutic hyperinsulinemia, iatrogenic hypoglycemia is typically the result of the interplay of mild-to-moderate absolute or even relative therapeutic hyperinsulinemia and compromised physiological and behavioral defenses against falling plasma glucose concentrations (2). The compromised physiological defenses include attenuated adrenomedullary epinephrine responses that, in the setting of absent insulin and glucagon responses, cause the clinical syndrome of defective glucose counterregulation with its 25-fold or greater increased risk of severe hypoglycemia during aggressive glycemic therapy. The compromised behavioral defense is the failure to ingest carbohydrates, which results from attenuated sympathoadrenal (largely sympathetic neural) responses that cause the clinical syndrome of hypoglycemia unawareness with its sixfold or greater increased risk of severe hypoglycemia during aggressive glycemic therapy. Defective glucose counterregulation and hypoglycemia unawareness are the components of hypoglycemia-associated autonomic failure (HAAF) in diabetes. HAAF is a form of functional sympathoadrenal failure, which is most often caused by recent antecedent iatrogenic hypoglycemia and is generally largely reversible by scrupulous avoidance of hypoglycemia. There is no doubt that hypoglycemia can be fatal (3). The Toronto insulin extract sometimes killed diabetic dogs and marked hypoglycemia kills experimental animals. In addition, there are many documented examples of associations between iatrogenic hypoglycemia and death (3). For example, increased hypoglycemia associated with excessive mortality during intensive glycemic therapy has been reported from randomized controlled trials in patients with type 2 diabetes (4) and in hyperglycemic critically ill individuals (5). It appears that something about an intensive therapy regimen designed to lower plasma glucose concentrations increased the possibility of death in those trials. Excess mortality during intensive glycemic therapy could have been the result of chance, a nonglycemic effect of some aspect of the intensive treatment regimen (e.g., a side effect of one or more of the drugs used, weight gain, or something else), or iatrogenic hypoglycemia (6,7). Denial notwithstanding (8), since plasma glucose concentrations at the times of each of the deaths are not known, one cannot know if hypoglycemia was or was not a culprit in some of the deaths. Additional associations between hypoglycemia and death in diabetes (3) include 1) reports of increased mortality associated with low, as well as high, hemoglobin A1c levels in type 2 diabetes; 2) those of hypoglycemia, cardiac arrhythmias, and death in diabetes; and 3) the finding of a temporal relationship between vanishingly low subcutaneous glucose concentrations and death in a patient with type 1 diabetes found dead in bed. Finally, in addition to case reports of hypoglycemic deaths in diabetes, there are an increasing number of series reporting hypoglycemic mortality rates (3). For example, recent reports indicate that 4% (9), 6% (10), 7% (11), and 10% (12) of deaths of patients with type 1 diabetes were caused by hypoglycemia. It is sobering to think that as many as 1 in 25—or even 1 in 10—patients with type 1 diabetes will die of iatrogenic hypoglycemia. Obviously, life-threatening episodes of hypoglycemia need not be frequent to be devastating. Associations between hypoglycemia and mortality (1,4,5,13,14) do not, of course, establish a causal connection. Indeed, Zoungas et al. (15) noted that severe hypoglycemia was associated not only with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality but also with noncardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetes. That prompted them to suggest that hypoglycemia might be a marker of serious underlying disease rather than a cause of death. Notably, the current data of McCoy et al. (1) do not support that interpretation. They found that the Charlson comorbidity index, an extensively studied index for predicting mortality that has been judged valid and reliable (16), was no different at baseline or at 5 years between the patients with diabetes who reported severe hypoglycemia and those who reported no or mild hypoglycemia. Thus, there was no evidence that the former group had more serious underlying disease, although their self-report of severe hypoglycemia predicted higher mortality 5 years later even after adjustment for age, sex, diabetes type and duration, hemoglobin A1c, and Charlson comorbidity index. While profound, prolonged hypoglycemia can cause brain death, most episodes of fatal hypoglycemia are the result of other mechanisms, presumably cardiac arrhythmias (3,17). As noted earlier, HAAF in diabetes is commonly caused by recent antecedent iatrogenic hypoglycemia, which reduces sympathoadrenal and symptomatic responses to subsequent hypoglycemia (3,18). It is now known that recent antecedent hypoglycemia also reduces subsequent baroreceptor sensitivity (19). The latter increases the risk of a fatal ventricular arrhythmia. Thus, the mechanism of hypoglycemic death may involve an episode of recent antecedent iatrogenic hypoglycemia that 1) reduces baroreflex sensitivity, thereby setting the stage for a ventricular arrhythmia and 2) increases the likelihood of another episode of hypoglycemia with a sympathoadrenal discharge that